March 12, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Nearly all major indices closed the week lower, except for the Nasdaq which bucked the trend. The weakest performer was the Russell 2000 Index, which saw a drop of nearly 2%. Interestingly, it also happens to be the weakest performing index year to date as well, posting gains of less than 1%

With earnings mostly behind us, the attention will shift towards the FOMC, and the upcoming policy meeting which will be conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday. On Friday, nonfarm payrolls rose to 235,000 compared to expectations of 200,000. Some market pundits believe that those positive numbers should give the FOMC enough confidence to raise the key interest rate at this upcoming meeting.

We’ll find out soon enough.

Where is the VIX in all of this?

The VIX continues to hangout below 12. On Friday, the VIX closed at 11.66. Based on some of the volatility estimators that we look at, the SPDR S&P 500 has a 20-day volatility of 7.31% compared to its median of 10.90% over the last 3 years.

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -9.27%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -1.78%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -2.40%.

Here is a list of some events that traders will be following during the week:

Key Economic Data:
14 March 2017- PPI 8:30 AM ET,
15 March 2017- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET; Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET; FOMC Forecasts 2:00 PM ET, Fed Chair Press Conference 2:30 PM ET
16 March 2017- Housing Starts 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey 8:30 AM ET
17 March 2017- Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET

Key Earnings:
13 March 2017- AR, REN, TACO, CHRS, KMG
14 March 2017- BONT, DSW, HDS, ARNA, CLDX, NPTN, PTCT, RUBI
15 March 2017- AXAS, ALRM, EVOK, GES, ORCL, WSM, JBL
16 March 2017- INSY, ADBE, CATB, MNKD, XONE, VSLR
17 March 2017- TIF

Key Events:
13 March 2017- J.P. Morgan 2017 Aviation, Transportation & Industrials Conference, 3/13-3/15; J.P. Morgan Special Situations Investor Forum, 3/13, in Washington, D.C.
14 March 2017- Barclays Global Healthcare Conference, 3/14-3/16, in Miami, FL

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March 5, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Week after week, traders are all asking the same question… when is this market going to pullback? Well, we didn’t see a whole lot of upside during the week. However, the market SPDR S&P 500 is up 5.39% over the last 30 days. With earnings mostly behind us, the attention will focus on an FOMC meeting which is 11 days from now, and politics out of Washington.

Where is the volatility?

The VIX continues to hangout below 11. On Friday, the VIX closed at 10.96. Based on some of the volatility estimators that we look at, the SPDR S&P 500 has a 20-day volatility of 7% compared to its median of 11% over the last 3 years.

Moving on to gold and oil.

Crude oil futures closed the week closing, lower at -1.16%. In precious metals, gold futures prices finished the week lower, dropping -1.79%
Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -1.49%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -2.01%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -1.85%.

One of the main highlights over the last week was the IPO of SNAP Inc., the parent company of Snapchat. A successful IPO to say the least, the company has a market cap of $31.35B, after gaining 59% it’s first week.

Here is a list of some events that traders will be following:

Key Economic Data
7 March 2017- International Trade 8:30 AM ET,
8 March 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
9 March 2017- ECB Central Bank (ECB) policy decision at 7:45 AM ET, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
10 March 2017- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings
6 March 2017- ASNA, MEET, THO
7 March 2017- DKS, MIK, NAV, HRB, NMBL, URBN, WIFI, ZAGG
8 March 2017- CIEN, EXPR, BOBE, HOV, OA, SMRT, VAL, CWH, RATE, VVUS, UNFI, WATT
9 March 2017- FCEL, PRTY, SIG, SSYS, ZUMZ, FNSR, FRPT, LOCO, PAY, ULTA

Key Events
6 March 2017- Citigroup 22nd Annual Global Property CEO Conference (runs till ⅜); Cowen 37th Annual Healthcare Conference (runs till ⅜); Deutsche Bank 25th Annual, Media, Internet and Telecom Conference runs till (⅜); Raymond James 38th Annual Institutional Investors Conference (runs till ⅜)

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February 26, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Week after week, the market continues to push through new all-time highs. Regardless, how hard the media tries to paint the picture that the new administration is a mess, the markets are telling us a completely different story.

How long with this dislocation last?

It’s really hard to say. However, on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrials managed to have its 11th straight record high close.

And you know what else?

The VIX continues to hangout below 12. On Friday, the VIX closed at 11.47. Looking forward into the week, traders will be watching GDP numbers along with earnings.

Moving on to gold and oil.

Crude oil futures closed the week higher, finishing up about 1.00%. In precious metals, gold futures prices finished the week higher, gaining more than 1.5%

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.44%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +2.00%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +1.37%.

Some key earnings include: Priceline, Hertz, Salesfore.com, and Costco.

Here is a list of some events that traders will be following:

Key Economic Data:
27 Feb 2017- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET
28 Feb 2017- GDP 8:30 AM ET, International Trade 8:30 AM ET
1 March 2017- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET, ISM Manufacturing 10:00 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
2 March 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET.

Key Earnings:
27 Feb 2017- AES, AFSI, AMT, BID, EMES, HZNP, SSTK, DGI, EXEL, EOG, HTZ, KND, OKE, PCLN, PRGO, THC, WDAY, CST
28 Feb 2017- AZO, CNP, DDD, ENDP, NRG, NLNK, PAH, QVCA, SEAS, SHOO, TGT, VRX, AMBA, BUFF, CRM, DAR, ETSY, EVHC, HALO, LOGM, PANW, TSRO, UHS, VEEV, WTW
1 March 2017- AEO, BBY, CROX, DLTR, DY, IEP, KERX, LOW, MYL, ODP, WIN, AVGO, BOX, KIN, SHAK, XON, VSI
2 March 2017- ANF, BKS, BUD, BURL, JD, JOY, KR, TD, ZEUS, COST, HABT, MRVL, SGMS, WING

Key Events:
27 Feb 2017- JMP Securities Technology Conference (runs till 2/28); Mobile World Congress (runs till 3/2); Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (runs till 3/2)

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February 19, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Last week we wrote: “The markets keep rolling higher… seems like nearly every other day an all-time high is being made.” Well, not much has changed, as the all three averages posted gains of over 1% on the week.

Interestingly, the attention continues to stay more or less focused on politics than what’s going on in the financial markets. The VIX did gain on the week, moving from 10.85 to 11.49, however; that’s still relatively low given the political climate we’re in.

Moving on to gold and oil.

Crude oil futures closed the week lower, finishing down 0.76%. In precious metals, gold futures prices finished the week higher, gaining about .10%

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -0.96%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.36%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.07%.

Some key earnings include: Tesla Motors, Wal-Mart, Hewlett Packard, Herbalife, and Home Depot.

Here is a list of some events that traders will be following:

Key Economic Data:
21 Feb 2017- PMI Manufacturing Index 9:45 AM ET
22 Feb 2017- Existing Home Sales 10:00 AM ET, FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET
23 Feb 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 11:00 AM ET, New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
21 Feb 2017- AAP, AER, BHP, CBRL, EXAS, EXPD, GPC, HD, HSBC, LL, M, MDR, MDT, PWR, WLK, WMT, EIX, CXO, FSLR, IRWD, LZB, NEM, PZZA, XPO
22 Feb 2017- DISH, GRMN, HFC, HST, LAMR, LYG, MBLY, NI, PNK, SBGI, SIX, TEX, TJX, TOL, WWW, CAKE, CLR, CLVS, ETE, ETP, EVHC, FIT, HPQ, LB, O, SQ, SUN, TROX, TSLA, TSRA
23 Feb 2017- BSFT, APA, CHK, CRZO, EME, IRM, KSS, PF, SAFM, SFM, STOR, VALE, VAC, DYN, GPS, HLF, IMAX, INTU, JWN, OLED, SWN, ZOES
24 Feb 2017- CLMT, DOC, FL, HSC, IAG, JCP, PEG, KBR, RLGY, STAR

Key Events:
20 Feb 2017- CAGNY Consumer Conference (runs till 2/24)
22 Feb 2017- Barclay’s Industrials Conference (runs till 2/23); RBC Healthcare Conference (runs till 2/23)

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February 14, 2017 Market Wrap Up

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The markets closed at the highs today. Despite the best efforts by the media to portray that the country is politically in shambles. The money changers are bullish stocks and we’re seeing it in these averages… and we’re seeing it in the depleted VIX. At some point, stocks will be too rich to own, however; judging by the price action we’re not there yet.

Strong earnings performers included: Diebold Nixdorf (DBD), Retailmenot (SALE), and Molson Coors (TAP)

Weak earnings performers included: Generac Holdings (GNRC) and Fossil Group (FOSL)

The VIX closed lower today, and is now trading below the 11 mark, closing at 10.74.

ETF Performers: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.53%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.72%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.11%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR), which traded 6.3 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in IMAX Corporation (IMAX), which traded 22 times normal option volume.

Here is what is left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
15 Feb 2017- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET, Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET, Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
16 Feb 2017- Housing Starts 8:30 AM, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, Philly Fed Survey 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
15 Feb 2017- ANGI, GRPN, HLT, LAD, OZM, PEP, SHOP, SODA, SONS, WIX, WYN, AMAT, CAR, CBS, CC, CF, CSCO, CVA, GDDY, GRPN, HAWK, KHC, MAR, MRO, NLY, NTAP, NTES, PKD, SPWR, TIVO, TRIP, WMB, WPZ
16 Feb 2017- AVP, CAB, CHTR, ALXN, DF, DUK, EPAM, GNC, H, MGM, NCI, RS, TIME, TPX, WEN, ZTS, WM, ANET, BCOV, CUBE, DVA, ED, FLS, KEYS, TRUE, WWAV
17 Feb 2017- AAN, CPB, CTB, DE, FNMA, MCD, VFC, SJM, LPNT, FLR

Key Events:
14 Feb 2017- Goldman Sachs Technology & Internet Conference (runs till 2/16)
15 Feb 2017- Leerink Global Healthcare Conference (runs till 2/16)

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February 5, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Overall, the markets were relatively flat during the week. With that said, earnings thus far haven’t been really exciting. We got some positive results out of Apple and Facebook. However, Amazon disappointed some, but nothing bad where it caused a significant sell-off in other areas of the market.

In economic news, the FOMC meeting resulted in no changes to the key interest rate. However, they still have a plan for several rate hikes this year. One important change in their language was that they are now saying that inflation will rise vs. expected too.

Outside of that, a lot of the media attention is around the first 100 days of President Trump.

Despite all the protesting and the media trying their best to make the new regime appear toxic, the market thus far is not buying into any of it. With that said, the VIX closed at 10.97 on Friday.

Going into the week, traders will be mainly focused on earnings.

Moving on to energy.

Crude oil futures closed the week pretty strong, having 3 out of 5 winning days and ending up 1.21%. On the other hand, gold futures prices finished the week down more than 1.3%

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.23%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.31%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +2.33%.

Some key earnings include: Disney, Time Warner, Twitter, CVS, and Coca-Cola to name a few.

Here are a list of events that traders will be watching:

Key Economic Data:
7 Feb 2017- International Trade 8:30 AM ET
8 Feb 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
9 Feb 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM

Key Earnings:
6 Feb 2017- BWP, HAS, L, NEWL, TSN, CBOE, SYY, DO, FOXA, HMN, LYB, MAC, TSO, YRCW
7 Feb 2017- ADM, BP, CAH, CDW, EMR, FIS, GM, ICE, KORS, MNK, NOV, SABR, TDG, TEN, VMC, AKAM, BWLD, DIS, GILD, GNW, JIVE, LITE, MCHP, MDLZ, NUAN, ORLY, PAA, PNRA, PAGP, PXD, TCS, TDW, TTWO, TWLO, ULTI, YUMC, ZG
8 Feb 2017- AXTA, CTSH, EXC, GRA, GRUB, HUM, LPX, RIO, OC, SNY, TWX, VOYA, DNB, FISV, GLUU, IRBT, LVLT, MC, PAYC, SCSS, TRMB, TYL, WFM, ZEN
9 Feb 2017- BATS, BWA, BZH, CLF, COTY, CVS, DNKN, K, KKR, KO, LIVE, MAS, MHK, OXY, PTEN, RAI, TDC, TWTR, VIAB, VRTU, WWE, YUM, ATVI, CERN, CYBR, EXPE, INFN, JCOM, LPLA, MNK, NCR, MPWR, NVDA, NWSA, P, RICK, UBNT, VRSN, WU, YELP, ZAYO, ZNGA
10 Feb 2017- AXL, G, MT

Key Events:
6 Feb 2017- Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum (runs till 2/8)
8 Feb 2017- Cowen 38th Annual Aerospace, Defense & Industrials Conference (runs till 2/9)
9 Feb 2017- KBW Winter Financial Services Symposium (runs till 2/10)

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February 2, 2017 Market Wrap Up

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The markets closed the day relatively weak after the FOMC’s interest rate decision. With that said, earnings continue to dominate the news along with politics. After a hot start, the Dow Jones Industrial Averages are now down 4 out of the last 5 sessions.

Some strong earnings performers included: Philip Morris (PM) and Tableau Software (DATA)

Some weak earnings performers included: Fireeye (FEYE), Ralph Lauren (RL), and Amazon.com (AMZN)

The VIX closed higher today, but still below the 12 mark, as it ended the day at 11.93.

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.26%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.04%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.56%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in RH (RH), which traded 3.7 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Cerus Corp (CERS), which traded 12.6 times normal option volume.

Here is what is left for tomorrow:

Key Economic Data:
3 Feb 2017- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings Release Dates:
3 Feb 2017- AN, APO, HSY, WY

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January 26, 2017 Market Wrap Up

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The markets closed the day relatively mixed. The S&P 500, Dow, and Russell 2000 closed negative. While the Dow Jones Industrials and the Nasdaq closed the day up. We finally saw Dow 20k the other day.

Some strong earnings performers included: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Southwest Airlines (LUV), and L3 Technologies (LLL)

Some weak earnings performers included: Alphabet (GOOG), Starbucks (SBUX), and Juniper Networks (JNPR)

The VIX continues to move lower, it closed at 10.63, down nearly 2% on the day.

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.95%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.34%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.93%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in YUM China Holdings (YUMC), which traded 26.3 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI), which traded 17.6 times normal option volume.

Here is what is left for tomorrow:

Key Earnings Release Dates:
27 Jan 2017- ABBV, APD, BEN, CL, CVX, HON, UBS

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January 24, 2017 Market Wrap Up

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The markets closed the day relatively strong. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all finished green. With that said, the Dow Jones Industrials are less than 100 points from 20k.

Some strong earnings performers included: Alibaba Group (BABA), Du Pont (DD), and Kimberly Clark (KMB)

Some weak earnings performers included: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and AK Steel (AKS)

The VIX continues to move lower, it closed at 11.07, down nearly 6% on the day.

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.44%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.69%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.45%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in CONE Midstream Partners (CNNX), which traded 15.3 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in LSB Industries Inc (LXU), which traded 10.5 times normal option volume.

Earnings will continue to be the theme for the rest of the week and the next couple. Check below:

Key Economic Data:
25 Jan 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
26 Jan 2017- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings Release Dates:
25 Jan 2017- BA, EAT, FCX, HBAN, HES, PG, NSC, NVS, NYCB, PGR, ROK, SC, STT, TXT, UTX, CCI, EBAY, FFIV, LRCX, LVS, MCK, PUB, QCOM, URI, VRTX, WDC
26 Jan 2017- AEP, ALK, BHI, CAT, CELG, DGX, DOV, DOW, F, HP, JBLU, LEA, LLL, LUV, MJN, NOC, RCI, EFTC, FLEX, GOOG, INTC, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT, PYPL, SBUX, SYNA, SWFT, VMW
27 Jan 2017- ABBV, APD, BEN, CL, CVX, HON, UBS

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January 12, 2017 Market Wrap Up

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The markets were relatively weak today as all major indices finished the day lower. However, it’s important to note that volumes were below average. In fact, there wasn’t really much going on today. Tomorrow should be a little different as we’re expecting earnings out of some big banks.

The VIX closed the day slightly higher at 11.54.

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.5%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.22%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.36%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Zayo Group Holdings (ZAYO), which traded 6.2 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Veeco Instruments (VECO), which traded 25.6 times normal option volume.

Check out what’s left on the schedule below:

Key Economic Data:
13 Jan 2017- PPI-FD 8:30 AM ET, Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings Release Dates:
13 Jan 2017- BAC, BLK, INFY, JPM, PNC, WFC

Key Conferences:
JPMorgan Healthcare Conference (runs till 1/13)

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