June 27, 2016 The Week Ahead

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The S&P 500 was under attack on Friday after a surprise vote out of Britain as they chose to leave the EU. Going into Friday, the option market was implying a 1.6%, however; The S&P 500 sold off more than 3.59%, which demonstrates how much traders underestimated the risk. Overall, the S&P 500 finished the week down 1.57%.

It appears that there are fears that other EU countries might follow in the footsteps as the Brits. With that said, traders were flocking towards safe havens like Gold and Treasury Bonds. Gold futures rose to their highest levels in 2 years, as they surged more than $55 and closed above 1315. In addition, The iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bond (ETF) gained more than 3.5 pts as it closed at 135.78, a move of 2.68%.

The VIX on Friday closed at 25.76, a massive jump of more than 8 points, a gain of nearly 50%.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was also a victim of the Brexit vote, as it sold off nearly 5% on Friday, closing at 11.40.

Here is what is on tap for this upcoming week:

Key Economic Data:
27 June 2016- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET
28 June 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET
29 June 2016- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
30 June 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
01 July 2016- ISM Mfg Index 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
28 June 2016- NKE, CAMP, CCL, FDS
29 June 2016- GIS, MON, PIR
30 June 2016- CAG, DRI, LNN, STZ, MU, MKC

Key Events:
27 June 2016- JPMorgan Inaugural Energy Conference (runs till 6/28)
28 June 2016- JPMorgan Media & Telecoms CEO Conference (runs till 6/29)

June 1, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 started the new month on a positive note, however; volume was well below the average. With that said, it’s not the greatest sign, when we’re moving towards all-time highs without any follow through in volume.

Stocks in play today: Nike (NKE) -.5%, Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) +8%, Ocean Power Technologies (OPTT) +285%, Hollyfrontier (HFC) +5%

Given the weak volume and lack of downward follow through pressure…the VIX didn’t do too much, closing at 14.20.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down less than .25% today. Crude oil futures have been wrestling trying to break $50 per barrel. Now, they’ve been able to get their intraday, but have yet to hold on to it. Tomorrow marks an OPEC meeting as well as the EIA petroleum report.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Westlake Chemical Corp (WLK), which traded 16.9 times normal volume. We also saw a ton of bearish bets being placed in Nike (NKE), which traded 3.9 times usual volume.

Here’s what’s left for tomorrow and Friday:

Key Economic Data:
2 June 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status 11:00 AM ET
3 June 2016- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET, International Trade 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
2 June 2016- CIEN, CONN, JOY, AMBA, AVGO, CMTL, FIVE, IDT, ZUMZ

Key Events:
KeyBanc Industrials & Auto Conference (runs till 6/2)
Bernstein 32nd Annual Strategic Decisions Conference (runs till 6/3)
Bank America Global Technology Conference (runs till 6/2)
Cowen 44th Annual Technology, Media & Telecom Conference (runs till 6/2)
DA Davidson 8th Annual Technology Forum; RBC Consumer & Retail Conference (runs till 6/2)

May 26, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 was relatively flat today, as volume seems to have dried up as we near all-time highs.

Stocks in play today: Gogo (GOGO) +16.3%, Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) +7.5%, Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) -16%, and Signet Jewelers (SIG) -10.5%

It was no surprise to see the VIX sell off as hard as it did. Many traders will be away tomorrow, as Monday is a holiday. With that said, it makes sense to see volatility come in, given not much is expected over the next few days. The VIX closed below 13.50.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down less than 1% today. Now, crude oil futures did hit $50 per barrel for the first time in over 6 months, but were unable to hold that level into the close.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY), which was 3.1 times normal volume. We also saw a ton of bearish bets being placed in Eagle Pharmaceuticals (EGRX).

Here’s what’s left for tomorrow:

Key Economic Data:
27 May 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET

May 25, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 continued its climb back to all-time highs; we’re now a little less than 2% off that. Not to mention, 15% higher than our 6-month lows. One could argue that this is all being done on anemic volume, however; fighting the tape can be very costly during times like this.

Stocks in play today: Alibaba Group (BABA) -7.3%, Express (EXPR) -8.4%, Whiting Petroleum (WLL) +14.5%, and Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) +26%

It was no surprise to see the VIX sell off as hard as it did. Overall, the VIX closed below 14, finishing the day 3.6% lower.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up nearly 2% today. In addition, crude oil futures closed at this year’s highs. We’re now nearly 50% off the 3-month lows.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Craft Brew (BREW), which was 69.2 times normal volume. We also saw a ton of bearish bets being placed in Alibaba Group (BABA). Overall, the option action in Alibaba was 5.9 times above the average.

Here’s what’s left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
26 May 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET
27 May 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
26 May 2016- ANF, DG, FRED, GME, PANW, SPLK, ULTA, VEEV, VNET

Key Events:
Morgan Stanley China Conference (runs till 5/26)
UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (runs till 5/26)

May 24, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 was in full panic buying mode today, as the index closed 1.37% higher. The catalyst? A better question, do we really need one anymore? All jokes aside, there was no real news that pushed the Dow, S&P 500, Russell 2000, and the Nasdaq. With that said, we’re not too far off the all-time highs.

It was no surprise to see the VIX sell off as hard as it did. Overall, the VIX closed at 14.42, closing the day 8.9% lower.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up more than 1.37% today. In addition, crude oil futures closed at 6 month highs. We’re now more than 80% higher off the 6-month lows.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Xilinx (XLNX), which was 5.2 times normal volume.

Here’s what’s left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
25 May 2016- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status 10:30 AM ET
26 May 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET
27 May 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
25 May 2016- BMO, TIF, COST, HPQ, LGF, NTAP
26 May 2016- ANF, DG, FRED, GME, PANW, SPLK, ULTA, VEEV, VNET

Key Events:
JP Morgan Technology Media & Telecom Conference (runs till 5/25); SunTrust Financial Services Conference (runs till 5/25); UBS Global Healthcare Conference (runs till 5/25)
Morgan Stanley China Conference (runs till 5/26); UBS Global Oil & Gas Conference (runs till 5/26); Wolfe Global Transportation (runs till 5/25)

May 17, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 sold off today, about 1% ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes. Not only that, but the S&P 500 is back to negative on the year. It will be interesting to see if the “minutes” add fuel to the fire or restore the markets.

It was no surprise to see the VIX spike more than 6%, closing at 15.57.

Stocks in play today included: Mgt Capital Investments (MGT) +46%, Abbvie (ABBV) -3.8%, and Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) +13%

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up more than 1.36% today. In addition, crude oil futures closed at 6 month highs. We’re now a whopping 61% higher off the 6-month lows.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO). In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Mallinckrodt PLC, which saw 2.6 times usual options volume.

Here’s what’s left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
18 May 2016- EIA Petroleum Status 10:30 AM ET, FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET
19 May 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey 8:30 AM ET
20 May 2016- Existing Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
18 May 2016- DSX, LOW, PGR, QIWI, TGT, CRM, CSCO, EXP, FLO, RXN, LB, TTWO, URBN
19 May 2016- DKS, AAP, SSI, WMT, ADSK, AMAT, BRCD, GPS, ROST, MENT
20 May 2016- FL, DE, CPB, BKE, HIBB

Key Events:
Electrical Products Group Conference (runs till 5/18)
Goldman Sachs Leveraged Financial Conference (runs till 5/18)
Bank America/Merrill Transportation Conference (runs till 5/18)
Barclays Americas Select Conference (runs till 5/19)
Citigroup Internet, E-commerce & Digital Media Conference (runs till 5/18)
JPMorgan Global Consumer & Retail Conference (runs till 5/18)
JPMorgan Homebuilding & Building Products Conference (runs till 5/18)
Needham Emerging Tech Conference (runs till 5/19)

May 12, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 sold off today, however; we closed well above the lows of the day to get near unchanged levels. The Nasdaq sold off nearly 1% as many tech names were under pressure. For example, Apple (AAPL) broke the $90 level during the day, closing down more than 2%.

We also saw continued selling in retail names for the second straight day. Not to mention, another strong day in Amazon (AMZN) +0.5%, closing above $716 per share. We had earnings out of Nordstrom this evening, shares have dropped more than 16% in the after hours… again, following similar companies who have already posted earnings results.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up more than 0.88% today, shaking off earlier losses in the day.

The VIX dropped nearly 2%, closing the day at 14.69.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Endo International PLC (ENDP). In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Bristow Group Inc (BRS), which saw 11.4 times usual options volume.

Here’s what’s left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
13 May 2016- Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET, PPR-FD 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
13 May 2016- JCP

May 11, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 sold off today, giving up nearly all of yesterday’s gains. Two sectors that got really beat up where retail and pharma. For example, we saw heavy selling in: Macy’s (M) -15%, Target (TGT) -5.4%, Michael Kors (KORS) -11.9%, and Tiffany & Co. (TIF) -6% to name a few.

On the other end, Amazon.com (AMZN) was up more than 1%, which appears to be the winner from all this. Not to mention, the Office Depot (ODP) -40% and Staples (SPLS) -18% was called off due to regulatory issues…which might have also helped Amazon out as well.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up more than 3% today after we got a surprise draw out of the DOE numbers this morning.

The VIX gained more than 7%, closing the day at 14.69.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Scorpio Bulkers (SALT). In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Masco (MAS), which saw 3.9 times usual options volume.

Here’s what’s left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
12 May 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
13 May 2016- Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET, PPR-FD 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
12 May 2016- AER, KSS, MTW, PRGO, RL, JWN, NVDA, SHAK
13 May 2016- JCP

Key Events:
11 May 2016- Bank America Global Metals, Mining & Steel Conference (runs till 5/12)
11 May 2016- Bank America Healthcare Conference (runs till 5/12)
11 May 2016- Jefferies Technology Conference (runs till 5/12)

April 14, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The market was relatively flat today, trading in a very narrow range. The S&P 500 traded between 2078 to 2087, closing in the middle of that range at 2082.

Despite a slow moving market, the VIX sold off a little bit, closing at 13.72.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down .5%, closing the day at 10.48. Crude oil is still comfortably trading above $41 per barrel.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Union Pacific (UNP). In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Waddell & Reed Financial (WDR), which saw 48.4 times usual options volume.

Stocks in play included: Bofi Holding (BOFI) -16.3%, Repros Therapeutics (RPRX) +20%, and Seagate Technology (STX) -20%

Earnings tomorrow include Citigroup. Thus far, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have posted solid results. However, Wells Fargo did not react as well on their earnings.

Here’s what’s left this week:

Key Economic Data:
15 April 2016- Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET

Key Earnings:
15 April 2016- C, RF, SCHW

April 12, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The market had a nice bounce after yesterday’s sell off. In fact, we’re not too far off most recent highs. With that said, earnings have kicked off and much of the focus will be on that over the next several weeks.

The VIX sold off nearly 9%, closing the day at 14.85.

One of the sectors on fire was energy. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up over 2.5%, closing the day at 10.64. Crude Oil is closed above $41 per barrel, sitting around 3 month highs.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Synaptics, Incorporated (SYNA). In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Boston Properties, Inc. (BXP), which saw 8.7 times usual options volume.

Stocks in play included: Chesapeake Energy (CHK) +33%, Juniper Networks (JNPR) -7%, Seadrill (SDRL) +22%, and Horizon Pharma (HZNP) (-25%)

As mentioned, earnings season is going to start picking up some steam. Here’s what is on tap for tomorrow and the rest of the week.

Key Economic Data:
13 April 2016- Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET, PPI-FD 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
14 April 2016- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
15 April 2016- Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET

Key Earnings:
13 April 2016- JPM, PIR
14 April 2016- BAC, BLK, DAL, PGR, TSM, WFC, AMD, CHKE
15 April 2016- C, RF, SCHW