Stock Market Watch for the Week of January 28th

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Stocks are looking to close the first month of the year in impressive fashion. All major stock indices are up. Led by small-caps, the Russell 2000 is up 10% this year. That said, we’re entering the most important period of January, as a number of high profile stocks are set to report earnings, names like FB, TSLA, AMZN, MSFT, AAPL, MRK and much more.

In addition to a slew of earnings, the FOMC is meeting on Wednesday. However, it appears that the Fed is going to work with the market, and not announce a rate hike during this meeting. One could argue that comments from Fed officials over the past few weeks has been a catalyst to the market rally.

Now, there is still plenty of market uncertainty. For example, the government did reopen, but only for three weeks until an agreement can be made. Also, trade talks with China are still ongoing with no resolution in sight.

That said, the VIX closed at 17.48 on Friday, as markets rallied off the news that the government will be reopened.

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Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.07%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.04%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.47%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +0.93%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.99%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.28%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.61%

Economic Releases:
29 Jan 2019- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET

30 Jan 2019- GDP 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET

1 Feb 2019- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
28 Jan 2019- AKS, GGG, WHR, RMBS, CAT, ETH

29 Jan 2019- EAT, DOV, BIIB, GLW, HCA, HOG, LLL, LMT, NUE, PCAR, ROK, VZ, VRX, AAPL, AMGD, AMD, EBAY, HA, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, PEG, RHI, SYK

30 Jan 2019- ADP, ALLY, ANTM, BA, BEN, GD, HP, MCD, NDAQ, SIRI, T, TMO, CREE, CRUS, DLB, FB, FICO, MDLZ, MSFT, MUR, NOW, PYPL, QCOM, TSLA, V, WYNN

31 Jan 2019- BAX, CHTR, CELG, COP, EPD, GE, MA, NOC, S, UPS, VLO, AMZN, POST, MCK, SYMC

1 Feb 2019- BAH, BERY, CI, CVX, D, HON, JCI, KKR, LYB, MSG, MRK, SPG, WY, XOM, ZBH

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August 20, 2018 The Week Ahead

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Stocks were mixed during the week as attention remains on the ongoing currency crisis in Turkey as well as, trade negotiations between the US and China. The number of earnings reports are declining and trading volumes are starting to come in as the summer drags along.

Stocks in play during the week included: WMT +8.51%, TSLA -14.06%, CGC +19.47%, SWCH -26.79%, and JWN +12.55%

Here are how some of the most widely traded index ETFs performed over the week:
Powershares QQQ ETF (QQQ) -0.37%, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.67%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.27%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +0.49%

The VIX closed at 12.60 on Friday.

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Here are how some futures and commodity ETFs performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -2.77%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.27%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -2.23%

Economic Releases:
22 Aug 2018- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET

23 Aug 2018- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; PMI Composite Flash 9:45 AM ET; New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
20 Aug 2018- EL, BHP, FN

21 Aug 2018- COTY, KSS, TJX, TOL, KEYS, LZB, URBN

22 Aug 2018- LOW, TGT, ADI, SMRT

23 Aug 2018- BABA, ADSK, INTU, LB, ROST, SNPS, SPLK, VEEV

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August 6, 2018 The Week Ahead

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Despite fears of trade wars escalating, the U.S. stock market continues to march higher, as the S&P 500 has now closed higher for five consecutive weeks.

Apple became the first company to exceed a market cap of more than $1 trillion.

Stocks in play during the week included: AAPL +8.9%, PFE +5.55%, TSLA +17.1%, SHOP -11.4%, TSN -9.1%, and BABA -4.5%

Here are how some of the most widely traded index ETFs performed over the week:
Powershares QQQ ETF (QQQ) +1.38%, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.77%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +0.05%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +0.68%

The VIX closed at 11.64 on Friday.

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Here are how some futures and commodity ETFs performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -0.35%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.20%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.79%

Economic Releases:
8 Aug 2018- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

9 Aug 2018- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; PPI-FD 8:30 AM ET

10 Aug 2018- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
6 Aug 2018- BID, CAH, CRNT, CTNB, JEC, SEAS, TSN, TWLO, ZG, WTW, THC, NPTN, FIVN, HTZ, MAR, ETSY

7 Aug 2018- DF, DISCA, EMR, EXPD, KMT, MNK, ODP, RDUS, ZBRA, AAOI, BOOT, ALRM, CYBR, DDD, DIS, HDP, LC, MTCH, NEWR, PXD, SNAP, TWNK, WEN, JAZZ, G, INFN

8 Aug 2018- ADT, CTL, DNB, EQIX, FOX, IAC, MNST, NUAN, ROKU, TIVO, YELP, CARS, CHH, CVS, EXTR, GOGO, KORS, MYL, SINA, TRI, VSI

9 Aug 2018- LNG, PRGO, VIAB, AXCM, AL, DBX, MCHP, OLED, SCOR, SNCR, TRNC, TRUE, TTD8

10 Aug 2018- JCP, AIT, RUTH

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September 24, 2017 The Week Ahead

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The S&P 500 & Dow Jones Industrial Averages closed the week positive. The shining star was small caps, as the Russell 2000 gained more than 1%. However, we did see weakness in some tech names, forcing the Nasdaq to close the week 1% lower.

Shares of AAPL -5%, AMZN -3.21%, FB -0.64, and TSLA -7.56% all finished lower.

Despite the sell off in some high profile tech names, the VIX is not worried. The “fear index” closed at 9.60 on Friday.

graph
Source: TradingView

Here are how some of the most traded ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.10%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) +1.33%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +0.34%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) -1.19%

Here is how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.39%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.52%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -1.82%.

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule for the week:

Economic Releases:
25 Sep 2017- New Home Sales 8:30 AM ET; Janet Yellen Speech 11:50 AM ET
27 Sep 2017- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
28 Sep 2017- GDP 8:30 AM ET; International Trade 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
29 Sep 2017- Personal Income 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
25 Sep 2017- ASNA, RHT, SNX
26 Sep 2017- FDS, INFO, MU, NKE
27 Sep 2017- JBL, PIR, THO
28 Sep 2017- BBRY, CAG, MKC, RAD, CAMP, KBH, CMD

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February 22, 2017 The Week Ahead

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The markets closed mixed today on lower than expected volume. For the most part, we’ve been trending higher with no real hiccup to note of. That said, even the FOMC minutes were a non-event today. The VIX is still trading below 12, as it closed at 11.74.

Strong earnings performers included: Garmin (GRMN), Mobileye (MBLY), and Tesla (TSLA)

Weak earnings performers included: L Brands (LB), Hollyfrontier (HFC), and Terex (TEX)

ETF Performers: United States Oil Fund (USO) -1.56%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.17%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.14%.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Liberty Interactive (QVCA), which traded 289 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Macquarie Infrastructure Company (MIC), which traded 2.3 times normal option volume.

Here is what is left for the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
23 Feb 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 11:00 AM ET, New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
23 Feb 2017- BSFT, APA, CHK, CRZO, EME, IRM, KSS, PF, SAFM, SFM, STOR, VALE, VAC, DYN, GPS, HLF, IMAX, INTU, JWN, OLED, SWN, ZOES
24 Feb 2017- CLMT, DOC, FL, HSC, IAG, JCP, PEG, KBR, RLGY, STAR

Key Events:
20 Feb 2017- CAGNY Consumer Conference (runs till 2/24)
22 Feb 2017- Barclay’s Industrials Conference (runs till 2/23); RBC Healthcare Conference (runs till 2/23)

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October 26, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 closed relatively flat today in what is one of the busiest earnings week of the year. Last night we heard from Apple, which disappointed by posting its third straight quarter of declining iPhone sales. This put a damper on the Nasdaq composite today as it dropped about .7%.

In the after hours we got earnings out of Tesla Motors (TSLA), which is up more than 6% at the time of this writing. This morning we got earnings out Biogen (BIIB), which is a gain of nearly 4%.

Stocks in play today included: Edwards Lifesciences (EW) -17%, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) -9%, NCR +14.5%, and Akamai Technologies (AKAM) +14.6%

The VIX sold rose nearly 6%, closing at 14.24.

Crude oil futures prices sold off for the third straight day, and is now down more than 3% on the week.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in SolarCity (SCTY), which traded 2.1 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Western Union Company (WU), which saw 9.8 times normal options volume.

Here’s what’s on tap for tomorrow and the rest of the week:

Key Earnings:
27 Oct 2016- AET, ALXN, AMT, APD, BMY, BOFI, BWA, BX, CAB, CELG, CL, CLF, CME, COP, DB, DOW, DPS, F, GNC, HACA, IP, LAZ, LLL, MJN, MO, MPC, NOK, NOV, PENN, POT, PX, SIRI, SWK, TMO, TPH, TPX, TROW, UPS, VW, WWE, AIG, AMZN, BIDU, CA, CBI, CRUS, CY, DLR, ELLI, EXPE, FLEX, FTNT, GOOGL, HIG, MCK, PFG, STRZA, SYK, SYNA, TWTR
28 Oct 2016- ABBV, AN, CVX, CBOE, HSY, MA, NWL, PSX, SNY, SHPG, TEN, WY, XOM, XRX, SIMO

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September 1, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 closed relatively unchanged on above average volume. All eyes will be on the employment situation numbers tomorrow. The consensus for nonfarm payrolls is 175,000 and unemployment rate of 4.8%. With that said, based on the straddle price for the SPY, the market is implying a .7% move (or $1.48).

Stocks in play today included: Genesco (GCO) -32.8%, Wynn Resorts (WYNN) +4.3%, Tesla Motors (TSLA) -5.3%, and Las Vegas Sands (LVS) +7.2%.

The VIX closed the day slightly higher at 13.48.

Crude oil futures prices have been on a four-day slide. Over that stretch, they’ve been down nearly 9%. Of course, all eyes and ears will be on the OPEC when they meet at an energy conference later in the month.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Teradata Corporation (TDC), which traded 2.9 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Starz (STRZA), which was 55.1 times normal options volume.

Here’s what’s on tap for tomorrow:

Key Economic Data:
2 Sep 2016- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET, International Trade 8:30 AM ET

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August 23, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 crept higher today on below average trading volume. Not surprising, as it’s been the theme this entire month. Realized volatility in SPY over the last month has been 5-7% depending on which estimator you’re using. To put that in perspective, these are some of the lowest levels we’ve seen over the last four years.

Stocks in play today include: Clovis Oncology (CLVS) +28%, Best Buy (BBY) +20%, Tesla Motors (TSLA) +.85%, and J.M. Smucker Company (SJM) -8%.

Despite the rise in the market, the VIX actually closed the day higher, finishing the session at 12.38.

Crude oil futures bounced back a little from yesterday’s pullback, climbing more than 1% and closing near $48 per barrel. Talks are heating up on what OPEC nations will be doing in the future, thus adding additional volatility to the energy complex.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Mellanox Technologies (MLNX), which traded 9.3 times normal option volume. In addition, we saw heavy put buying in Concurrent Computer Corporation (CCUR) 52.1 times normal options volume.

Here’s what’s on tap for tomorrow and the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
24 Aug 2016- Existing Home Sales 10:00 AM ET, EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM
25 Aug 2016- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET, Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
26 Aug 2016- GDP 8:30 AM ET, International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
24 Aug 2016- EXPR, GES, HPQ, PVH, WSM, WDAY
25 Aug 2016- FLS, EPAY, BURL, BRCD, DG, DLTR, GME, GLNG, JKS, MDT, SAFM, SHLD, SFUN, SDRL, SPLK, ZAYO, ULTA, TIF
26 Aug 2016- BIG

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August 3, 2016 Market Wrap Up

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The S&P 500 recovered about half their losses from yesterday, closing the day .3% higher. With that said, volumes were well below average. The SPDR S&P 500 traded about 52 million shares, whereas on average it trades around 80-85 million.

Stocks in play today include: Genworth Financial (GNW) +28.7%, 3D Systems (DDD) +17.6%, Cray (CRAY) -30.4%, and Kate Spade (KATE) -18.7%

The VIX closed lower, now trading below 13 at 12.86.

Crude oil futures surged today, climbing over 4% and closing above $41 per barrel.

On the options front, we saw large call buying activity in Gap (GPS) and Michael Kors (KORS).

This evening we got earnings out of Tesla Motors (TSLA) -.96%, Tripadvisors (TRIP) -7.7%, and Herbalife (HLF) +2.86% to name a few.

Here’s what’s on tap for tomorrow and the rest of the week:

Key Economic Data:
4 August 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
5 August 2016- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET, International Trade 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
4 Aug 2016- DUK, K, MGM, NOK, PCLN, SEAS, SSYS, TEVA, TIME, VIAB, ANET, ATVI, CSOD, FLR, FSLR, IMPV, KHC, LGF, LNKD, OLED, TRUE, TTWO, ZG, ZNGA
5 Aug 2016- WY, WLTW, HSBC, CTSH, AES

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July 31, 2016 The Week Ahead

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The S&P 500 closed the week relatively flat, which means it’s still near record highs. Earnings thus far have been taken positively. The FOMC meeting proved to be a non-event, as they continue to use the same rhetoric. We now have a situation where gold, stocks, and bonds are near their yearly highs. It will be interesting to see how long that relationship can keep up.

The VIX continued to decline during the week, closing on Friday at 12, at 11.87.

Crude oil futures prices fell more than 6% on the week. On Thursday, they hit a 3-month low, when the traded at 43.13. Crude futures prices are down 10% over the last two weeks and nearly 19% off their 3-month highs.

Moving on, gold futures prices gained more than 2%, closing above $1350 an ounce. Gold futures prices are creeping back to their yearly highs, and are now more than 20% higher than their 6-month lows.

In addition, T-bond futures prices gained more than 1.5%, as they too are near their yearly highs.

As mentioned earlier, earnings season continues to roll. We’ll be hearing from Tesla (TSLA), Pfizer (PFE), CVS Health Corp (CVS), Fitbit (FIT), and Procter & Gamble (PG) just to name a few.

Here is what is on tap for this upcoming week:

Key Economic Data:
1 August 2016- ISM Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET
2 August 2016- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET
3 August 2016- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
4 August 2016- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
5 August 2016- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET, International Trade 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
1 August 2016- FDC, MCY, SOHU, FTR, GGP, IDTI, TEX, THC, WMB, VNO
2 August 2016- AET, AVP, CAH, CMI, CVS, EMR, EXPD, H, MNK, MOS, ODP, PBI, PFE, PG, RDC, SABR, SODA, SHPG, STX, TAP, AIG, DATA, EA, DVN, FIT, FUEL, GLUU, JIVE, NFX, TX, ZEN
3 August 2016- AXA, D, DDD, ICE, KATE, OXY, TWX, ZTS, CF, FOXA, GDDY, HLF, HUBS, MET, NLY, TROX, TSLA, TSO, WU
4 August 2016- DUK, K, MGM, NOK, PCLN, SEAS, SSYS, TEVA, TIME, VIAB, ANET, ATVI, CSOD, FLR, FSLR, IMPV, KHC, LGF, LNKD, OLED, TRUE, TRIP, TTWO, ZG, ZNGA
5 August 2016- WY, WLTW, HSBC, CTSH, AES

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