Stock Market Watch for the Week of February 4th

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Stocks closed the month of January strong, as it had its best start to the year since 1987. It all happened while the government was mostly shut down, and trade talks between China still ongoing.

That said, comments out of the Federal Reserve Bank, have been the main driver for the rally in the stock market. On January 30, the FOMC decided to leave interest rates untouched. Also, they removed references of further gradual rate increases, as they plan to continue with current floor approach.

In other words, the Fed is doing its best to please the markets. That said, the focus for the coming week is the State of the Union Address, earnings, and more earnings. We’ll be getting quarterly results from Alphabet, Disney, Electronic Arts, and GM.

So far, earnings have been mixed. For example, Amazon, Nvidia, and Apple have guided lower, while oil companies like Exxon and Chevron are starting to break out towards the upside.

That said, volatility has come in a lot since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. However, it closed at 16.16 on Friday, a sign that traders are becoming complacent once again.

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Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.61%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.25%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.25%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +1.39%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +3.38%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.36%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +1.33%

Economic Releases:
5 Feb 2019- State of the Union Address 9PM ET

6 Feb 2019- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

7 Feb 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
4 Feb 2019- GOOGL, STX, WSM, GILD, ON, CLX, SYY, ALXN

5 Feb 2019- ADM, EL, EMR, ENR, HUBB, LAZ, RL, VIAB, WCG, WDR, APC, CERN, DATA, DIS, EA, GNW, MCHP, PAA, PAYC, SFLY, SKY, SNAP, SWKS, ULTI, VOYA, ZEN, VRTX

6 Feb 2019- BSX, GM, HUM, LLY, REGN, TTWO, WD, CMG, ELY, FEYE, GPRO, HIVE, IRBT, NEWR, MET, ORLY, PRU, ZNGA, WERN, VVV

7 Feb 2019- ADNT, AMAG, CAH, DNKN, EIGI, GRUB, HAIN, K, LEE, LH, PENN, TWTR, WWE, YUM, ANGI, EXPE, FISV, G, HUBG, IAC, MAT, NCR, QRVO, VRSN, VRTU

8 Feb 2019- ARNC, CBOE, CLF, COTY, EXC, PSX, RDN

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February 4, 2018 The Week Ahead

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The markets saw their first true taste of volatility under the Trump Presidency, as the Dow Jones Industrials fell by more than 665 points on Friday. The catalyst appears to be inflation concerns. Some Fed officials believe we’ll have multiple interest rate hikes this year.

The VIX closed at its highest level of the year, 17.21, on Friday.

graph
Source: TradingView

Over 100 S&P 500 stocks reported earnings on Friday, that said, there are plenty to look out for this coming week, some of them include: Nvidia, General Motors, Disney, and Tesla.

Here are how some of the most widely traded index ETFs performed over the week:
Powershares QQQ ETF (QQQ): -3.7%; SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY): -3.88%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA): -4.13%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) -3.62%

Here is how some futures and commodity ETFs performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -1.51%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -3.24%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -1.31%.

Economic Releases:
5 Feb 2018- ISM Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET

6 Feb 2018- International Trade 8:30 AM ET

7 Feb 2018- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

8 Feb 2018- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
5 Feb 2018- ARNC, BMY, CHD, HES, ON, SYY, CRUS, FN, NOV, OCLR, RE, SWKS

6 Feb 2018- ABC, ADM, ARW, AXTA, BDX, CNC, DNKN, EMR, FLOW, GM, SAVE, AKAM, APC, BZH, CMG, DIS, EXTR, GILD, MCHP, MTSI, NEWR, NTGR, SNAP, PXD

7 Feb 2018- CDW, CTSH, BILL, HAIN, HAS, HUM, ICE, KORS, TRVG, XEL, ALL, CCK, FISV, FORM, IAC, INFN, IRBT, NTES, NXPI, PRI, PRU, TSLA, TTWO, YELP, ZAYO, ZNGA

8 Feb 2018- BR, BWA, CAH, COTY, CVS, GRUB, K, KKR, MANU, MAS, NLSN, PM, SEE, TEVA, TSN, TWTR, VIAB, WLTW, WWE, YUM, AIG, ATVI, AIZ, DXC, EXPE, FEYE, IMPV, MOBL, MTW, NCR, NUAN, NVDA, NWSA, PCTY, UIS, VRSN, WEB, ZG

9 Feb 2018- CBOE, MCO, PCG

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November 5, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Nearly all major indices closed the week higher except for the Russell 2000. Earnings thus far have been good enough. Shares of Apple rose nearly 6% on the week, Alibaba +4.01%, and Starbucks +2.10%, three earnings names that did not disappoint.

Some earnings stocks worth watching for the upcoming week include: CVS, Mylan, Priceline, Macy’s, and Disney.

The “fear index” closed at 9.14 on Friday; as it is now hovering around the 52-week lows of 8.84.

graph
Source: TradingView

Here are how some of the most traded ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.29%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) -0.79%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +0.43%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) +1.34%

Here is how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +3.14%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +1.95%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.23%

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule for the week:

Economic Releases:
8 Nov 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

9 Nov 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

10 Nov 2017- Consumer Sentiment 10:00 AM ET; Treasury Budget 2:00 PM ET

Key Earnings:
6 Nov 2017- AFI, BAH, CAH, CVS, KORS, MYL, ONDK, TRUE, SYY, CAR, ETSY, GDDY, PCLN, SWKS, THC, TRIP, WTW, ZAYO

7 Nov 2017- CBOE, COH, CROX, EMR, EXPD, MNK, SEAS, VIRT, VRX, ZBRA, BUFF, DVA, EXTR, G, LC, MAR, SNAP, TTWO, ZNGA

8 Nov 2017- CABO, CARS, HUM, MGM, REGN, ROK, SEE, WEN, CSOD, CTL, FOXA, IMPV, INFN, SQ, SRCL, TROX, TWLO

9 Nov 2017- AZN, DHI, HIMX, IPXL, JCI, KSS, M, PRGO, QVCA, TIME, HTZ, DIS, JWN, NVDA,

10 Nov 2017- MT

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August 6, 2017 The Week Ahead

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It was another strong week for the stock market as both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials posted gains. Job growth came stronger than expected and unemployment hit a 16 year low at 4.3%.

Earnings thus far have been mixed, but results from Apple were strong as shares of the stock gained 4.6% on the week.

Earnings coming out for the week include: Disney, Nvidia, and retailers like Macy’s and Nordstrom.

Here are how some of the most traded ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.20%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) -1.23%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +1.17%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) -0.13%

Here is how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed over the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) -0.39%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.84%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.86%.

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule for the week:

Economic Releases:
9 August 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
10 August 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, PPI 8:30 AM ET
11 August 2017- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
7 August 2017- BAH, GOGO, CAR, LC, LQ, MAR, MTW, THC, TWLO
8 August 2017- CABO, CVS, DF, ENDP, EXPD, IEP, KORS, LAMR, LNG, MNK, QVCA, RL, SEAS, SEE, TDG, TIME, VRX, ZBRA, ZTS, BUFF, CYBR, DIS, DXC, GDDY, HTZ, MSNT, MYGN, NUAN, PCLN, TRIP, TSO, XEC, ZG
9 August 2017- CROX, IPXL LITE, MYL, WB, WEN, FLO, FOXA,
10 August 2017- KSS, M, PRGO, JWN, NVDA, NWSA, SNAP, PCTY, TTD
11 August 2017- JCP

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May 7, 2017 The Week Ahead

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The stock market shows no signs of slowing down. It’s been resilient to say the very least. That said, the next obstacle comes this Sunday, with the French presidential election being the catalyst. The markets are hoping that Emmanuel Macron wins, who represents the establishment. On the other hand, if Marine Le Pen pulls off the upset, we could see an increase in market volatility on Monday. That said, the markets aren’t betting on it, on Friday, the VIX closed at 10.57.

Here are how some of the most popular ETF Indices performed: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.68%, iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) -0.05%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrials Average ETF (DIA) +0.33%, and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) +1.44%

Earnings continue to flow, some of the interesting names reporting include: Disney, Snap Inc., Yelp, and Electronic Arts.

Here are how some futures/commodity related ETF’s performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) -5.66%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.87%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -3.11%.

Below you’ll find what is else is on the schedule:

Key Economic Data:
10 May 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
11 May 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET, PPI 8:30 AM ET
12 May 2017- Consumer Price Index 8:30 AM ET; Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
08 May 2017- JD, LBTYA, NWL, ON, ONDK, SYY, TSN, AMC, EOG, FN, HTZ, MAR, P, TSO
09 May 2017- AGN, CBOE, DF, DISCA, DUK, RESI, SEAS, TDG, VRX, BUFF, DIS, EA, FOSL, JAZZ, MCHP, NEWR, NVDA, PCLN, TRIP, TRUE, TWNK, YELP, ZAYO
10 May 2017- COTY, CROX, IPXL, MYL, SODA, TIME, VSI, WIX, FOXA, HOLX, LPSN, SNAP, WFM, SYMC
11 May 2017- KSS, OA, M, SNK, TPB, VSTO, JWN, CA, JAG
12 May 2017- GOLF, JCP

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February 5, 2017 The Week Ahead

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Overall, the markets were relatively flat during the week. With that said, earnings thus far haven’t been really exciting. We got some positive results out of Apple and Facebook. However, Amazon disappointed some, but nothing bad where it caused a significant sell-off in other areas of the market.

In economic news, the FOMC meeting resulted in no changes to the key interest rate. However, they still have a plan for several rate hikes this year. One important change in their language was that they are now saying that inflation will rise vs. expected too.

Outside of that, a lot of the media attention is around the first 100 days of President Trump.

Despite all the protesting and the media trying their best to make the new regime appear toxic, the market thus far is not buying into any of it. With that said, the VIX closed at 10.97 on Friday.

Going into the week, traders will be mainly focused on earnings.

Moving on to energy.

Crude oil futures closed the week pretty strong, having 3 out of 5 winning days and ending up 1.21%. On the other hand, gold futures prices finished the week down more than 1.3%

Now, here is how some of the other closely followed ETFs did on the week: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.23%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.31%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +2.33%.

Some key earnings include: Disney, Time Warner, Twitter, CVS, and Coca-Cola to name a few.

Here are a list of events that traders will be watching:

Key Economic Data:
7 Feb 2017- International Trade 8:30 AM ET
8 Feb 2017- EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET
9 Feb 2017- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM

Key Earnings:
6 Feb 2017- BWP, HAS, L, NEWL, TSN, CBOE, SYY, DO, FOXA, HMN, LYB, MAC, TSO, YRCW
7 Feb 2017- ADM, BP, CAH, CDW, EMR, FIS, GM, ICE, KORS, MNK, NOV, SABR, TDG, TEN, VMC, AKAM, BWLD, DIS, GILD, GNW, JIVE, LITE, MCHP, MDLZ, NUAN, ORLY, PAA, PNRA, PAGP, PXD, TCS, TDW, TTWO, TWLO, ULTI, YUMC, ZG
8 Feb 2017- AXTA, CTSH, EXC, GRA, GRUB, HUM, LPX, RIO, OC, SNY, TWX, VOYA, DNB, FISV, GLUU, IRBT, LVLT, MC, PAYC, SCSS, TRMB, TYL, WFM, ZEN
9 Feb 2017- BATS, BWA, BZH, CLF, COTY, CVS, DNKN, K, KKR, KO, LIVE, MAS, MHK, OXY, PTEN, RAI, TDC, TWTR, VIAB, VRTU, WWE, YUM, ATVI, CERN, CYBR, EXPE, INFN, JCOM, LPLA, MNK, NCR, MPWR, NVDA, NWSA, P, RICK, UBNT, VRSN, WU, YELP, ZAYO, ZNGA
10 Feb 2017- AXL, G, MT

Key Events:
6 Feb 2017- Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum (runs till 2/8)
8 Feb 2017- Cowen 38th Annual Aerospace, Defense & Industrials Conference (runs till 2/9)
9 Feb 2017- KBW Winter Financial Services Symposium (runs till 2/10)

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November 1, 2015 The Week Ahead

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The S&P 500 finished the week relatively flat, however; it finished the month nearly 7% higher. In fact, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) is less 2% off the all-time highs.

With that said, the VIX closed around 15, a signal that there isn’t much fear in the market at the moment.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up nearly 4% on the week, and flat for the month. We continue to see a divergence between the energy and equity markets.

On the earnings front we’ll see releases out of the likes of Disney, Facebook, Qualcomm, and Ralph Lauren to name a few.

Key Economic Data:
2 November 2015- ISM Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET
4 November 2015- International Trade 8:30 AM ET
5 November 2015- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET
6 November 2015- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET
30 October 2015- Personal Income 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
2 November 2015- CLX, CTB, D, DO, EL, L, KBR, NBL, V, SYY, AIG, CAR
3 November 2015- DISCA, MOS, ZTS, TASR, SALE, EMR, ATVI, CBS, GRPN, X, ZNGA, HLF
4 November 2015- AGN, AVP, KORS, TWX, WEN, CF, FEYE, FB, QCOM, RIG, MRO, HOLX
5 November 2015- AMCX, AZN, CELG, COTY, DUK, GOGO, HFC, KATE, RL, TAP, ANET, CYBR, DATA, DIS, DWA, GLUU, NUS, SWKS, TRIP, WTW
6 November 2015- HUM, HZNP

August 20, 2015 Market Wrap Up

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August 20, 2015 Market Wrap Up

The S&P 500 got absolutely destroyed today; despite no real news. Nonetheless, we were down over 2% and the VIX exploding up over 25% and closing at 19.14.

We saw big sell-offs in Facebook -5%, Disney -6%, Twitter -6%, and Merck -4.5%.

Of course, all eyes will be on China this evening for indication of how the U.S. Markets will open up.

One big winner today, was the precious metal gold. The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), was up nearly 2%. Proving that during volatile markets, gold is still considered a safe haven. On the other hand, crude oil futures hit a multi-year low, down over 55% in 12 months.

On the options front, we saw bullish call buying in Calpine Corp (CPN). We also saw bearish option activity in Splunk, Inc.

Tomorrow is August options expiration.

Here’s what else is going on:

Key Earnings:
21 August 2015- DE, FL