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Stock Market Watch For the Week of July 15th

Education, Trading , , ,

The S&P 500 and Dow Jones broke through all-time highs on Friday, on the hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates in its meeting in late July.

For the last month, politics and policy have been dominating the headlines (the Fed, and trade talks). However, earnings season starts on Monday, and traders will be shifting their attention on that.

We’ve all been hearing about how the global economy is slowing down. Heck, China’s GDP just grew at its slowest pace in 27 years.

Will we start seeing the slowdown when companies issue guidance?

With a slew of earnings that include JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Netflix, Microsoft, and many others– we’ll have an answer to that question shortly.

As of now, the market seems unfazed, as witnessed by a declining VIX.

graph

Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.73%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) -0.36%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.53%; Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +1.30%

Here is how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +4.77%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -1.67%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +1.05%

Economic Releases:
16 July 2019- Retail Sales at 8:30 AM ET; Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET

17 July 2019- Housing Starts 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

18 July 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; Philly Fed Business Survey 8:30 AM ET

Earnings Releases:
15 July 2019- C, WTFC, JBHT

16 July 2019- JNJ, JPM, WFC, CSX, CTAS, HOPE, IBKR, UAL

17 July 2019- BAC, BK, CMA, PGR, PNC, TXT, USB, AA, BXS, CCI, IBM, URI

18 July 2019- DHR, DOV, POOL, GPC, MS, PM, SNA, UNH, UNP, MSFT, WAL, SCX

19 July 2019- AXP, BLK, CFG, CLF, KSU, SLB, STT

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of July 8th

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The S&P 500 and Dow Jones are sitting near all-time highs. One of the reasons pushing stocks higher has been the belief that the Federal Reserve Bank will be initiating rate cuts later this year, starting this month.

However, a positive jobs number on Friday spooked the market. And stocks sold-off and are experiencing weakness going into Monday’s trading.

That said, it’s all about the Fed this week, as Jerome Powell is set to give two speeches, and the FOMC minutes release is this Wednesday.

Right now the market is expecting the Fed cuts rates, but it will be interesting to see what Powell has to say after last week’s jobs numbers.

As of now, the market appears nervous, and the VIX is starting to steadily climb.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 2.39%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.99%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.55%; Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +2.44%

Here is how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) -2.77%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.35%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -0.53%

Economic Releases:
10 July 2019- EIA Petroleum Status Report at 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET

11 July 2019- CPI 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

Earnings Releases:
9 July 2019- PEP; HELE; LEVI

10 July 2019- ANGO; BBBY; PSMT; VOXX

11 July 2019- DAL; FAST

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of July 1st

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The S&P 500 is starting the second half of 2019, just liked it closed the first-half, red-hot.

Over the weekend it was announced that the U.S. and China have come to terms on a trade truce (G-20 Summit). This adds to an already bullish picture for stocks, it’s expected that the Fed will cut interest rates this month, the first time in a decade.

Here are some notes going into the second-half of 2019

  • The S&P 500 had the best June performance since 1955, gaining 6.9%
  • Traders are pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut in July
  • Gold prices closed above $1400 per troy ounce
  • Bitcoin is back above $10K, and is trending higher
  • IPO Madness: Uber, Lyft, Beyond Meat, and Zoom Video are among the top names

That said, the VIX, the market’s fear index, appears to be headed lower again.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -0.34%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.01%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) -0.47%; Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) -0.97%

Here is how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.58%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +1.05%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.92%

Economic Releases:
1 July 2019- ISM Manufacturing 10:00 AM ET

3 July 2019- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report at 10:30 AM ET

5 July 2019- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of June 24th

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The S&P 500 is right at all-time highs, as the overall stock market is having one of its strongest first-half performances in terms of percentage gains.

The Federal Reserve Bank can take much of the credit. As it appears that they are ready to cut rates for the first time since 2008.

An interest rate cut would mean that money becomes easier to borrow… which in turn should motivate businesses to grow.

That said, here’s how the first of half of 2019 looks thus far:

  • Oil prices are surging due to geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran
  • No deal to the trade war yet, G20 Summit is this weekend, where leaders of the U.S. and China are set to meet
  • Gold prices are above $1400 for the first time in six years
  • Bitcoin is back above $10K and is trending higher

That said, the VIX, the market’s fear index, appears to be taking it all in stride.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.64%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.46%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +2.14%; Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +3.25%

Here is how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +4.01%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.02%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +4.28%

Economic Releases:
25 June 2019- New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

26 June 2019- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET; International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

27 June 2019- GDP 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

28 June 2019- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
25 June 2019- FDS, LEN, AVAV, FDX, MU, SNX

26 June 2019- BB, GIS, INFO, PAYX, UNF, FUL, MLHR, KBH, NG, PIR, RAD, WOR

27 June 2019- ACN, APOG, CAG, GMS, MKC, PDCO, WBA, NKE, PRGS

28 June 2019- STZ, JKS, ADPT, BBIO, CMBM, CHNG, REAL

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of March 11th

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Stocks have hit a cold streak, after soaring for two straight months. That said, they ended the week on a 5-day losing skid.

The catalyst?

Well, it’s hard to say precisely, but here are what some traders believe it is:

  • Profit taking- this has been the best two months start for the S&P 500 since 1991
  • Weak economic data- poor job numbers
  • Weakness in China- poor export numbers
  • Weakness in Europe- ECB lowered growth outlooks
  • Unresolved trade negotiations between the U.S. and China
  • Brexit fears
  • S&P 500 hit key resistance (2800 level)

Are the markets cooling off or is the beginning of a new trend?

We’ll have to continue to monitor the situation, but it doesn’t appear that traders are panicking yet. Furthermore, the VIX, also known as the market’s fear index spiked during the week, as it typically rises when stocks sell-off. On Friday, it closed at 16.05.

graph

Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) -2.13%; iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) -4.17%; SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) -2.19%; Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) -1.85%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +0.60%; iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +2.45%; SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.79%

Economic Releases:
11 Mar 2019- Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET

12 Mar 2019- CPI 8:30 AM ET

13 Mar 2019- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET; PPI-FD 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

14 Mar 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

15 Mar 2019- Industrial Production 9:15 AM ET

Key Earnings:
11 Mar 2019- ADT, COUP, SFIX

12 Mar 2019- PETX, CLNE, NTRA, PEIX, NOG, BLCM

13 Mar 2019- TRVN, SMTC, MDB, AXAS, VRA

14 Mar 2019- DG, ULTA, XONE, ADBE, AVGO, JBL, ORCL, ZUMZ, PVTL

15 Mar 2019- BKE

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of March 4th

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As the trading month of March kicks off, stocks look to continue their impressive hot streak. It has been reported that this is the best two-month start for the Dow since 2010. While the S&P 500 hasn’t seen a start like this since 1991.

The FOMC’s Powell has helped ease market concerns for further rate hikes this year, which many believe was the catalyst that pushed stocks higher in January. Furthermore, the market is optimistic that a trade resolution between the U.S. and China will happen soon.

It’s another busy week for earnings, this week we’ll be receiving more Q4 results from retailers like Costco, Target, and Urban Outfitters.

However, traders don’t seem bothered with earnings. For example, volatility has gotten crushed since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. The VIX is currently trading at around 13.54.

graph

Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.46%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +0.06%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +0.10%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +0.87%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) -2.43%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -2.39%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) -2.88%

Economic Releases:
5 Mar 2019- New Home Sales 10:00 AM ET

6 Mar 2019- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

7 Mar 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

8 Mar 2019- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET; Housing Starts 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
4 Mar 2019- CRM, LEAF, SD

5 Mar 2019- EGLE, HRZN, UNFI, URBN, VSLR, TGT, KSS, CIEN, AFI

6 Mar 2019- ANF, FVE, MEET, WHF, ABM, AEO

7 Mar 2019- HOV, GNC, KR, COST, TTOO

8 Mar 2019- NAV, MTN

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Stock Market Watch For the Week of February 25th

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After nine straight weeks of posting gains for the Dow Jones, it looks to go for a tenth this week. Some of the fears the market had a few months ago is withering away. For example, on Sunday, President Trump announced that he would be holding off on raising Chinese tariffs, as both parties continue to negotiate.

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve Bank officials have made it clear that they will remain patient when it comes to adjusting interest rates. On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Powell spoke to Congress. In his prepared speech he mentioned that the economic outlook is favorable with some cross-currents.

It’s a busy week for earnings and a busy week for economic data.

That said, volatility has gotten crushed since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. However, it’s currently trading around 15.

graph

Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performing over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +0.78%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.26%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +0.87%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +0.92%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) -1.20%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.63%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.46%

Economic Releases:
26 Feb 2019- Housing Starts 8:30 AM ET; Jerome Powell speaks 9:45 AM ET

27 Feb 2019- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

28 Feb 2019- GDP 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

1 Mar 2019- Personal Income and Outlays 8:30 AM ET; ISM Manufacturing Index 10:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
26 Feb 2019- AZO, DISCA, HD, M, PZZA, PANW, PLNT, MYL

27 Feb 2019- CHK, HZNP, LOW, TJX, BKNG, MNST, SQ, FIT, HPQ, BOX

28 Feb 2019- JCP, PCG, SEAS, DELL, MAR, JWN, GPS, SPLK, WDAY, ZS

1 Mar 2019- FL

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Stock Market Watch for the Week of February 18th

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Stocks closed the week strong, as the Dow posted its 8th straight weekly gain. That said, we’re entering a busy week of trading, despite the markets being closed on Monday for Presidents Day.

Some of the upcoming highlights this week include the FOMC minutes and jobless claims. And of course, earnings. That said, 46 S&P 500 names report, including CVS and Walmart.

Earnings have been good enough to keep this market pushing higher. However, the Federal Reserve Bank deserves a lot of the credit for this year’s move higher. By letting the market know that the Fed will most likely not raise rates this year, it has given investors confidence.

However, uncertainty remains. Specifically, the U.S.-China trade talks are still very much in the air. If a deal unravels, it could push equities lower.

Volatility has come in a lot since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. However, it closed at 14.91 on Friday, a sign that traders are becoming complacent once again.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +2.55%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +4.25%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +2.92%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +2.01%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +5.69%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) -0.30%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.48%

Economic Releases:
20 Feb 2019- FOMC Minutes 2:00 PM ET

21 Feb 2019- Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM ET; Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET; Philly Fed Survey 8:30 AM ET; Existing Home Sales 10:00 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 11:00 AM ET

Key Earnings:
19 Feb 2019- AAP, FDP, GPC, NBL, TEX, TTS, WMT, CDNS, DVN, FANG, FE, FIVN, HST, LZB, LC, RARE

20 Feb 2019- CVS, GCI, HFC, LAMR, NI, OC, SAH, TRGP, CAKE, CAR, CONE, ET, GDDY, IVR, JACK, LASR, SAM, TYL, WPG, Y

21 Feb 2019- BG, ROCK, TTC, VC, VG, WPX, PLAB, PWR, AAOI, EXAS, ZG, STMP, SGMS, ROKU, PRA, OLED, CZR, CUBE, BEAT, WEN, WPX

22 Feb 2019- AN, B, COG, PNW, SNR, W, WPC

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Stock Market Watch for the Week of February 4th

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Stocks closed the month of January strong, as it had its best start to the year since 1987. It all happened while the government was mostly shut down, and trade talks between China still ongoing.

That said, comments out of the Federal Reserve Bank, have been the main driver for the rally in the stock market. On January 30, the FOMC decided to leave interest rates untouched. Also, they removed references of further gradual rate increases, as they plan to continue with current floor approach.

In other words, the Fed is doing its best to please the markets. That said, the focus for the coming week is the State of the Union Address, earnings, and more earnings. We’ll be getting quarterly results from Alphabet, Disney, Electronic Arts, and GM.

So far, earnings have been mixed. For example, Amazon, Nvidia, and Apple have guided lower, while oil companies like Exxon and Chevron are starting to break out towards the upside.

That said, volatility has come in a lot since December 24, when the VIX traded above 36. However, it closed at 16.16 on Friday, a sign that traders are becoming complacent once again.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.61%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.25%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.25%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +1.39%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +3.38%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.36%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +1.33%

Economic Releases:
5 Feb 2019- State of the Union Address 9PM ET

6 Feb 2019- International Trade 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET

7 Feb 2019- Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
4 Feb 2019- GOOGL, STX, WSM, GILD, ON, CLX, SYY, ALXN

5 Feb 2019- ADM, EL, EMR, ENR, HUBB, LAZ, RL, VIAB, WCG, WDR, APC, CERN, DATA, DIS, EA, GNW, MCHP, PAA, PAYC, SFLY, SKY, SNAP, SWKS, ULTI, VOYA, ZEN, VRTX

6 Feb 2019- BSX, GM, HUM, LLY, REGN, TTWO, WD, CMG, ELY, FEYE, GPRO, HIVE, IRBT, NEWR, MET, ORLY, PRU, ZNGA, WERN, VVV

7 Feb 2019- ADNT, AMAG, CAH, DNKN, EIGI, GRUB, HAIN, K, LEE, LH, PENN, TWTR, WWE, YUM, ANGI, EXPE, FISV, G, HUBG, IAC, MAT, NCR, QRVO, VRSN, VRTU

8 Feb 2019- ARNC, CBOE, CLF, COTY, EXC, PSX, RDN

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Stock Market Watch for the Week of January 28th

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Stocks are looking to close the first month of the year in impressive fashion. All major stock indices are up. Led by small-caps, the Russell 2000 is up 10% this year. That said, we’re entering the most important period of January, as a number of high profile stocks are set to report earnings, names like FB, TSLA, AMZN, MSFT, AAPL, MRK and much more.

In addition to a slew of earnings, the FOMC is meeting on Wednesday. However, it appears that the Fed is going to work with the market, and not announce a rate hike during this meeting. One could argue that comments from Fed officials over the past few weeks has been a catalyst to the market rally.

Now, there is still plenty of market uncertainty. For example, the government did reopen, but only for three weeks until an agreement can be made. Also, trade talks with China are still ongoing with no resolution in sight.

That said, the VIX closed at 17.48 on Friday, as markets rallied off the news that the government will be reopened.

graph
Source: Yahoo

Here are how some of the most actively traded index ETFs performed over the week: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) +1.07%, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) +1.04%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) +1.47%, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) +0.93%

Here are how some of the most actively traded commodity and interest rate ETFs performed: United States Oil Fund (USO) +1.99%, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.28%, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) +0.61%

Economic Releases:
29 Jan 2019- International Trade in Goods 8:30 AM ET

30 Jan 2019- GDP 8:30 AM ET; EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET; FOMC Meeting Announcement 2:00 PM ET

1 Feb 2019- Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET

Key Earnings:
28 Jan 2019- AKS, GGG, WHR, RMBS, CAT, ETH

29 Jan 2019- EAT, DOV, BIIB, GLW, HCA, HOG, LLL, LMT, NUE, PCAR, ROK, VZ, VRX, AAPL, AMGD, AMD, EBAY, HA, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, PEG, RHI, SYK

30 Jan 2019- ADP, ALLY, ANTM, BA, BEN, GD, HP, MCD, NDAQ, SIRI, T, TMO, CREE, CRUS, DLB, FB, FICO, MDLZ, MSFT, MUR, NOW, PYPL, QCOM, TSLA, V, WYNN

31 Jan 2019- BAX, CHTR, CELG, COP, EPD, GE, MA, NOC, S, UPS, VLO, AMZN, POST, MCK, SYMC

1 Feb 2019- BAH, BERY, CI, CVX, D, HON, JCI, KKR, LYB, MSG, MRK, SPG, WY, XOM, ZBH

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